Eastern Michigan
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
91  Nicholas Raymond SR 31:47
135  Hlynur Andresson JR 31:58
195  Lahsene Bouchikhi JR 32:12
292  Abel Flores JR 32:28
318  Csaba Matko JR 32:34
524  Mitchell Lenneman JR 32:57
653  John Knox III SR 33:12
1,036  Austin Wicker FR 33:47
1,439  James O'Flahrity SO 34:19
1,466  Colin Burdette FR 34:22
1,704  Austin Sargent FR 34:41
2,121  Nick McFarland SO 35:24
2,412  David Saporito SO 36:03
National Rank #30 of 312
Great Lakes Region Rank #5 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 56.4%
Most Likely Finish 28th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 10.5%


Regional Champion 1.5%
Top 5 in Regional 90.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nicholas Raymond Hlynur Andresson Lahsene Bouchikhi Abel Flores Csaba Matko Mitchell Lenneman John Knox III Austin Wicker James O'Flahrity Colin Burdette Austin Sargent
MSU Spartan Invitational 09/16 872 32:02 32:16 32:31 33:29 33:40 33:05 34:11 34:04 33:54
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 694 31:37 31:50 32:30 32:38 33:00 32:41 33:21 35:48
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 1239 33:36 34:39 34:23 34:18
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 611 31:45 32:02 31:55 32:41 32:07 32:55 33:58
Mid-American Conference 10/29 615 32:04 32:04 32:06 32:05 32:05 33:45 33:12 33:39 35:11
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/11 595 31:31 31:51 32:18 32:15 32:47 32:20 33:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 56.4% 24.6 594 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.7 2.1 3.3 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.8 5.7 6.0 5.2 4.2 2.1
Region Championship 100% 4.4 123 1.5 5.5 12.5 23.9 47.5 8.2 0.9 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nicholas Raymond 80.8% 80.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4
Hlynur Andresson 68.3% 112.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Lahsene Bouchikhi 58.7% 141.7
Abel Flores 56.5% 181.2
Csaba Matko 56.5% 192.9
Mitchell Lenneman 56.5% 225.5
John Knox III 56.6% 238.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nicholas Raymond 8.9 1.5 5.0 6.6 7.0 7.0 5.9 6.9 6.1 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.2 3.7 3.4 3.1 2.7 2.8 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 1.1
Hlynur Andresson 13.7 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.1 3.8 4.4 3.8 5.0 4.9 5.4 5.3 4.9 4.9 5.1 4.4 3.2 2.5 3.6 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.8
Lahsene Bouchikhi 20.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.3 2.5 3.6 3.6 4.4 3.8 4.2 5.1 4.5 4.2 3.6 3.9 3.6 3.1 3.8 3.1
Abel Flores 31.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.6 3.3 3.1
Csaba Matko 35.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 1.0 2.1 1.4 1.3 2.5 2.1 3.4 3.5
Mitchell Lenneman 54.8 0.1 0.1 0.1
John Knox III 71.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.5% 100.0% 1.5 1.5 1
2 5.5% 100.0% 5.5 5.5 2
3 12.5% 89.6% 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.1 1.3 11.2 3
4 23.9% 72.6% 0.3 0.8 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.7 2.1 2.0 3.9 6.6 17.4 4
5 47.5% 42.9% 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.8 1.1 1.2 3.4 3.3 2.1 5.3 27.1 20.4 5
6 8.2% 6.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 7.7 0.5 6
7 0.9% 0.9 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 56.4% 1.5 5.5 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.7 2.0 3.0 3.7 3.4 4.1 7.2 6.7 5.6 10.4 43.6 7.0 49.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 92.4% 1.0 0.9
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Providence 78.3% 1.0 0.8
Texas 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 2.0 0.9
Penn 36.5% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 14.8% 2.0 0.3
Minnesota 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.3
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 12.0